New national polling suggests something significant is happening beneath the surface of American politics. An NBC News SurveyMonkey redo poll shows Kamala Harris leading Donald Trump by eight points among voters asked how they would vote if the 2024 election were held again. At the same time, Reuters Ipsos and AP NORC surveys place Trump’s approval rating in the mid to high 30s, including a sharp drop on immigration and noticeable erosion among key voter groups. An emerging enthusiasm gap also shows Democratic voters slightly more committed to turning out than Republican voters, a dynamic that could shape the battle for Congress.
But numbers alone do not decide elections. Turnout, economic anxiety, healthcare costs, and voter suppression efforts will determine whether this polling shift becomes political reality. In this episode, we break down the data, the risks, and what has to happen next. Watch the full episode now to understand what these warning signs really mean and why this moment could define the midterms.
